In previous posts I examined stats from my database identifying the winners and losers and examined win statistics by position. In almost every case whether the player was a winner or loser the stats from the blinds showed losing results. In order to see whether this trend is true I decided to validate this by using the 10 Billion plus hands available at PokerTableRatings (PTR) to look at in depth stats of the players I was tracking to see what their long term results were. PTR does not give total stats by position so I had to delve into each players sessions for the past month to have a look for myself.
Points of interest noted from the sample analyzed. When I looked at 2 years worth of data on my player selection (see previous post), most all of them were winning players in the long run. Results varied from .48 BB/100 to 3.29 BB/100 but winners none the less. The samples hands by player ranged from 500,000 hands to 1.7 Million hands so the sample sizes were sufficient to account for any short range variance.
In almost every case playing from the blinds resulted in a net loss overall. Even if every hand was folded from the blinds this will produce a losing stat of course but every player I looked at had horrible results from the blinds overall validating my conclusions from the previous post. The consistent winning hands from the blinds were AA, KK, and sometimes QQ but this is true from every position. AQ and JJ produced awful results for most players as did most small to medium pairs. The blinds are very tricky to play all but premium hands from. I have modified my current blind play to make a significant reduction in hands played from the blinds to see what this will do. I am tracking my over BB/100 win rate to see if over the course of the next month my win rate will increases by doing this.
My next post will give you the most interesting statistics or traits of the players used in this analysis. I am going to see what other forums and sources have to say about the statistics I gathered and will present next time.
Examine your play to see what your statistics are. If you don't have a poker database and are serious about winning at poker - GET ONE. The cost of purchasing a database software and the value it can add to your play is priceless. A couple of packages to explore are Holdem Manager and Poker-Edge.
Stay tuned and thanks for reading. Comments are always welcomed.
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